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Category: Data & AnalyticsNo API key required

Polymarket Analysis

Analyze Polymarket prediction markets for trading edges. Pair Cost arbitrage, whale tracking, sentiment analysis, momentum signals, user profile tracking. No execution.

personAuthor: hiehoohubclawhub
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Polymarket Analysis

Identify trading advantages in Polymarket prediction markets through multi-modal analysis.

Scope: Analysis and opportunity identification only. No trade execution.

Modes

| Mode | Description | Reference | |------|-------------|-----------| | Analyze | One-time market analysis | This file | | Monitor | 24/7 market monitoring | references/market-monitoring-setup.md | | Profile | Track user wallet positions | scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py |

Scripts

# Monitor market for alerts
python3 scripts/monitor-polymarket-market.py <market_url_or_id>

# Fetch user profile/positions
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py <wallet_address> [--trades] [--pnl]

Quick Start

Market Analysis

  1. Get market URL from user
  2. Fetch via https://gamma-api.polymarket.com/markets?slug={slug}
  3. Run multi-strategy analysis

User Profile

# From profile URL: polymarket.com/profile/0x...
python3 scripts/fetch-polymarket-user-profile.py 0x7845bc5e15bc9c41be5ac0725e68a16ec02b51b5

Core Strategies

| Strategy | Description | Reference | |----------|-------------|-----------| | Pair Cost Arbitrage | YES+NO < $1.00 | references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md | | Momentum | RSI, MA signals | references/momentum-analysis.md | | Whale Tracking | Large trades | references/whale-tracking.md | | Sentiment | News/social | references/sentiment-analysis.md |

Alert Thresholds

| Event | Threshold | |-------|-----------| | Price change | ±5% in 1h | | Large trade | >$5,000 | | Pair cost | <$0.98 | | Volume spike | >2x avg |

APIs

| API | Base URL | Use | |-----|----------|-----| | Gamma | gamma-api.polymarket.com | Markets, prices | | Data | data-api.polymarket.com | User positions, trades, P&L | | CLOB | clob.polymarket.com | Order books, trading |

See references/polymarket-api.md for full endpoint reference.

References

  • references/polymarket-api.md - API endpoints (Gamma, Data, CLOB)
  • references/market-monitoring-setup.md - 24/7 cron monitoring
  • references/pair-cost-arbitrage.md - Arbitrage detection
  • references/momentum-analysis.md - Technical analysis
  • references/whale-tracking.md - Smart money tracking
  • references/sentiment-analysis.md - Sentiment aggregation