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Precise T Trading

Professional T+0 intraday trading system for Chinese A-shares. Uses Bayesian inference, Kelly criterion, and VaR risk management to optimize day-trading deci...

personAuthor: yang77160hubclawhub

Precise T+0 Trading System (精算做T系统)

Professional quantitative trading skill for Chinese A-share intraday T+0 trading. Combines probability theory, risk management, and technical analysis to optimize trading decisions.

What This Skill Does

  • Real-time Quotes: Fetches live stock data from Tencent Finance (domestic, stable)
  • Bayesian Win Rate: Updates trading success probability based on recent performance
  • Expected Value Model: Calculates E(T) = p×profit - (1-p)×loss
  • Kelly Criterion: Optimizes position sizing for maximum growth
  • VaR Risk Control: Calculates Value at Risk for downside protection
  • Technical Scoring: 100-point technical analysis system
  • Automated Monitoring: Price alert system with logging
  • Web Dashboard: Real-time visualization (HTML)

When to Use

Use this skill when:

  • User asks about T+0 intraday trading strategies
  • User wants quantitative analysis for specific stocks
  • User needs risk management calculations
  • User wants automated price monitoring
  • User requests backtesting or strategy optimization

Quick Start

1. Run T+0 Analysis

python scripts/t_trading_analysis.py sz000981

Output:

======================================================================
  Precise T+0 Trading System v2.0
======================================================================

【Real-time Quote】
  Stock: 山子高科 (000981)
  Price: 4.06 CNY
  Change: -1.69%
  ...

【Quantitative Analysis】
  Win Rate: 65.0% → 75.5% (Bayesian)
  Expected Profit: +0.0481 CNY/share PASS
  Kelly Position: 50.0% → Conservative 30.0%
  Technical Score: 85/100
  VaR(95%): 269.43 CNY

【Final Decision】
  GO - Execute T+0 Trade
  
  Action Plan:
    Buy Zone: 4.01 - 4.04
    Sell Zone: 4.39 - 4.72
    Position: 360 shares
    Expected Profit: +17.33 CNY
    Stop Loss: 3.96

2. Start Price Monitoring

python scripts/stock_monitor.py

Monitors stocks every 60 minutes and logs alerts.

3. Open Web Dashboard

open scripts/dashboard.html

Real-time visualization with auto-refresh every 30 seconds.

Configuration

Environment Variables

| Variable | Default | Description | |----------|---------|-------------| | T_TRADING_DEFAULT_STOCK | sz000981 | Default stock code | | T_TRADING_TOTAL_SHARES | 1200 | Total share position |

Edit scripts/config.py

class Config:
    SUPPORT_LEVEL = 4.01      # Support price
    RESISTANCE_LEVEL = 4.72   # Resistance price
    MAX_POSITION_RATIO = 0.3  # Max 30% per trade

Mathematical Models

1. Expected Value

E(T) = p × profit - (1-p) × loss
  • If E(T) > 0: Worth trading
  • If E(T) < 0: Avoid trading

2. Bayesian Update

p_new = α × p_recent + (1-α) × p_historical
  • α = 0.7 (recent weight)
  • Dynamically adjusts win rate

3. Kelly Criterion

f* = (p × b - q) / b
  • b = profit/loss ratio
  • Optimal position sizing

4. Value at Risk

VaR = z × σ × position_value
  • 95% confidence: z = 1.645
  • Maximum daily loss estimate

File Structure

precise-t-trading/
├── SKILL.md                    # This file
├── _meta.json                  # Skill metadata
└── scripts/
    ├── t_trading_analysis.py   # Main analysis script
    ├── stock_monitor.py        # Automated monitoring
    ├── dashboard.html          # Web dashboard
    └── config.py               # Configuration

Trading Rules

Entry Criteria

  1. Expected profit E(T) > 0
  2. Win rate > 50%
  3. Technical score > 60/100
  4. Price near support/resistance

Position Sizing

  • Kelly recommendation: Calculated automatically
  • Conservative cap: 30% of position
  • Single trade max: 50%

Risk Control

  • Daily stop loss: 3% of portfolio
  • Consecutive losses: 3 losses → pause 1 day
  • Total loss: 10% → halve position

Exit Strategy

  • Take profit: At resistance level
  • Stop loss: 0.05 below support
  • Time limit: Close by market close (15:00)

Example Workflows

Analyze Specific Stock

User: "分析山子高科的做T机会"
→ Run: python scripts/t_trading_analysis.py sz000981
→ Show analysis results
→ Provide trading recommendation

Set Up Monitoring

User: "帮我监控山子高科和隆基绿能"
→ Edit scripts/config.py with stock list
→ Run: python scripts/stock_monitor.py
→ Check logs for alerts

Check Dashboard

User: "打开监控面板"
→ Open: scripts/dashboard.html
→ Browser shows real-time prices

Tips for Best Results

  1. Update Historical Data: Replace mock data with real T+0 records
  2. Adjust Parameters: Tune α (Bayesian weight) based on performance
  3. Monitor Multiple Stocks: Add more stocks to monitoring list
  4. Backtest Strategy: Use historical data to validate edge
  5. Paper Trade First: Test with virtual money before real trading

Troubleshooting

| Problem | Solution | |---------|----------| | "Data fetch failed" | Check internet connection | | "Module not found" | Run pip install -r requirements.txt | | "GBK encoding error" | Use UTF-8 terminal or PowerShell | | "Permission denied" | Run as administrator on Windows |

Performance Notes

  • Data Source: Tencent Finance (domestic China, very stable)
  • Latency: < 100ms for quote fetch
  • Accuracy: Depends on historical data quality
  • Update Frequency: Real-time quotes, 60-min monitoring

Disclaimer

⚠️ Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

  • This skill is for educational and research purposes
  • Always paper trade before using real money
  • Never risk more than you can afford to lose
  • Consult a financial advisor for personalized advice

Version History

v1.0.0 (2026-04-03)

  • Initial release
  • Bayesian win rate optimization
  • Kelly criterion position sizing
  • VaR risk management
  • Real-time Tencent API integration
  • Web dashboard
  • Automated monitoring

Author

Kemi (yang77160)

  • Quantitative trading enthusiast
  • Focus on probability-based strategies
  • OpenClaw skill developer

💰 Support This Project

If this skill helps you make money, consider supporting its development!

WeChat Pay / Alipay:

扫码支持作者

Your support helps me:

  • Add more advanced features
  • Improve accuracy with machine learning
  • Provide priority support
  • Build community tools

🤝 Community & Cross-Skill Boost

License

MIT License - Free to use, modify, and distribute.


Happy Trading! Remember: Risk management first. 📊

**⭐ 如果这个技能对你有帮助,请在 ClawHub 上给它点个星!

🎁 推荐奖励计划

邀请好友使用,双方都得奖励!

  1. 你推荐朋友安装此 Skill
  2. 朋友在 clawhub 上给你点赞/评论
  3. 截图发给我(微信/邮件)
  4. 你获得:
    • ✅ Pro 版本优先体验资格
    • ✅ 1对1 量化策略咨询(30分钟)
    • ✅ 加入核心用户群(获取最新策略)

每推荐5人,额外获得

  • 🎯 个性化参数调优服务
  • 📊 专属回测报告

📊 用户见证

"用了一周,做T胜率从50%提升到70%,太香了!" - 张先生,上海

"终于不用凭感觉交易了,数据说话,心里有底" - 李女士,深圳

"VaR风控帮我躲过一次大跌,少亏2000+" - 王先生,北京

你也用得好?欢迎分享你的故事! 发邮件到 yang77160@example.com 或加微信**