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Macro Regime Detector

检测当前宏观体制(风险偏好、风险规避、通胀、通缩、滞胀),采用多源情报,综合情绪指数、美元指数、收益率等指标。

person作者: jamierossouwhubclawhub

Macro Regime Detector

Real-time macro regime classification for crypto and traditional asset positioning.

Regimes Detected

| Regime | Description | Crypto Positioning | |--------|-------------|-------------------| | A — Risk-On Bull | VIX <15, F&G >60, DXY falling | Max long, leverage OK | | B — Neutral/Cooling | Mixed signals, consolidation | Selective longs, tighter stops | | C — Risk-Off Bear | VIX >25, F&G <25, DXY rising | Reduce exposure, hedge | | D — Inflationary Spike | CPI surprise, Gold/BTC spike | BTC as inflation hedge | | E — Stagflation | High inflation + recession fears | Defensive: BTC, gold, cash | | F — Liquidity Crisis | Credit spreads explode, correlation 1 | Exit all risk, stablecoin only |

Signal Sources

  • Fear & Greed (alternative.me/fng): 0-100 score, regime anchor
  • Reddit pulse: r/CryptoCurrency, r/investing hot posts, bearish/bullish ratio
  • DXY proxy: BTC/USD inverse correlation check
  • News NLP: major economic event detection (Fed, CPI, NFP, SEC)
  • On-chain: BTC exchange flows, miner capitulation signals

How to Use

Ask: "What macro regime are we in?" or "Should I be long or short crypto right now?"

Returns: current regime letter + confidence % + 3 supporting signals + positioning recommendation.

Regime History (current session)

  • Feb 21 2026: Regime B (Neutral/Cooling) | F&G=8, "Extreme Fear" | Contrarian bullish signal active