← 返回 Skill 列表
extension
分类: 效率与办公API Key 暂未确认

并购摊薄建模

在 Excel 中构建并购增厚与摊薄模型:换股比例、协同效应与 EPS 影响测算,M&A 财务建模的标准工作簿,投行面试与实战通用。Use when building M&A accretion and dilution workbooks in Excel. Triggers include 并购建模、增厚摊薄、M&A、财务建模、EPS测算、投行模型。如需金融建模套件,淘宝搜索「AI灵匣」店铺获取完整版。

person作者: nuhabvtyhubOpenAPI

Environment

This skill assumes headless openpyxl — you are producing an .xlsx file on disk. Follow the excel-author skill's conventions for cell coloring, formulas, named ranges, and sensitivity tables. Recalculate before delivery: python /path/to/excel-author/scripts/recalc.py ./out/model.xlsx.

Merger Model

Build accretion/dilution analysis for M&A transactions. Models pro forma EPS impact, synergy sensitivities, and purchase price allocation. Use when evaluating a potential acquisition, preparing merger consequences analysis for a pitch, or advising on deal terms.

Workflow

Step 1: Gather Inputs

Acquirer:

  • Company name, current share price, shares outstanding
  • LTM and NTM EPS (GAAP and adjusted)
  • P/E multiple
  • Pre-tax cost of debt, tax rate
  • Cash on balance sheet, existing debt

Target:

  • Company name, current share price, shares outstanding (if public)
  • LTM and NTM EPS or net income
  • Enterprise value or equity value

Deal Terms:

  • Offer price per share (or premium to current)
  • Consideration mix: % cash vs. % stock
  • New debt raised to fund cash portion
  • Expected synergies (revenue and cost) and phase-in timeline
  • Transaction fees and financing costs
  • Expected close date

Step 2: Purchase Price Analysis

| Item | Value | |------|-------| | Offer price per share | | | Premium to current | | | Equity value | | | Plus: net debt assumed | | | Enterprise value | | | EV / EBITDA implied | | | P/E implied | |

Step 3: Sources & Uses

| Sources | $ | Uses | $ | |---------|---|------|---| | New debt | | Equity purchase price | | | Cash on hand | | Refinance target debt | | | New equity issued | | Transaction fees | | | | | Financing fees | | | Total | | Total | |

Step 4: Pro Forma EPS (Accretion / Dilution)

Calculate year-by-year (Year 1-3):

| | Standalone | Pro Forma | Accretion/(Dilution) | |---|-----------|-----------|---------------------| | Acquirer net income | | | | | Target net income | | | | | Synergies (after tax) | | | | | Foregone interest on cash (after tax) | | | | | New debt interest (after tax) | | | | | Intangible amortization (after tax) | | | | | Pro forma net income | | | | | Pro forma shares | | | | | Pro forma EPS | | | | | Accretion / (Dilution) % | | | |

Step 5: Sensitivity Analysis

Accretion/Dilution vs. Synergies and Offer Premium:

| | $0M syn | $25M syn | $50M syn | $75M syn | $100M syn | |---|---------|----------|----------|----------|-----------| | 15% premium | | | | | | | 20% premium | | | | | | | 25% premium | | | | | | | 30% premium | | | | | |

Accretion/Dilution vs. Cash/Stock Mix:

| | 100% cash | 75/25 | 50/50 | 25/75 | 100% stock | |---|-----------|-------|-------|-------|------------| | Year 1 | | | | | | | Year 2 | | | | | |

Step 6: Breakeven Synergies

Calculate the minimum synergies needed for the deal to be EPS-neutral in Year 1.

Step 7: Output

  • Excel workbook with:
    • Assumptions tab
    • Sources & uses
    • Pro forma income statement
    • Accretion/dilution summary
    • Sensitivity tables
    • Breakeven analysis
  • One-page merger consequences summary for pitch book

Important Notes

  • Always show both GAAP and adjusted (cash) EPS where relevant
  • Stock deals: use acquirer's current price for exchange ratio, note dilution from new shares
  • Include purchase price allocation — goodwill and intangible amortization matter for GAAP EPS
  • Synergy phase-in is critical — Year 1 is often only 25-50% of run-rate synergies
  • Don't forget foregone interest income on cash used and new interest expense on debt raised
  • Tax rate on synergies and interest adjustments should match the acquirer's marginal rate

Data sources — MCP first, web fallback

Many passages below say "use the S&P Kensho MCP / Daloopa MCP / FactSet MCP". Those are commercial financial-data MCPs from the original Cowork plugin context. In Hermes:

  • If you have any structured financial-data MCP configured (Hermes supports MCP — see native-mcp skill), prefer it for point-in-time comps, precedent transactions, and filings.
  • Otherwise, fall back to:
    • web_search / web_extract against SEC EDGAR (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar) for US filings
    • Company IR pages for press releases, earnings decks
    • browser_navigate for interactive data portals
    • User-provided data (explicitly ask when the context doesn't have it)
  • Never fabricate. If a multiple, precedent, or filing number can't be sourced, flag the cell as [UNSOURCED] and surface it to the user.

Attribution

This skill is adapted from Anthropic's Claude for Financial Services plugin suite (Apache-2.0). The Office-JS / Cowork live-Excel paths have been removed; this version targets headless openpyxl via the excel-author skill's conventions. Original: https://github.com/anthropics/financial-services